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RBI Keeps Inflation Estimate Steady at 4.5% for FY25, Down From 5.4% in Last Fiscal

"The elephant (inflation) seems to have gone for a walk and RBI wants it to remain in the forest." RBI Guv Shaktikanta Das

The Reserve Bank on Friday retained inflation projection at 4.5% for the current fiscal year, lower than 5.4 per cent in the last fiscal. 

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CPI (consumer price index-based) inflation for the current year is projected at 4.5%, with Q1 at 4.9 %, Q2 at 3.8 %, Q3 at 4.6 %, and Q4 at 4.5 % assuming a normal monsoon this year. 

Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta Das also stressed on the need to remain vigilant on food prices, given the forecast of higher temperatures between April-June. He also said that the impact of reduction in fuel prices on inflation will deepen in the coming months. Das, however, said the elephant (inflation) seems to have gone for a walk and RBI wants it to remain in the forest. 

The central government has tasked the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to ensure that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) based inflation remains at 4 %, with a margin of 2 % on either side. The retail inflation was 5.1 % in February. March inflation print is scheduled to be released next week. 

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The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on Friday kept benchmark policy interest rates unchanged for the seventh time in a row at 6.5 %. 

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