Shares were mostly higher in Europe and Asia on Monday as investors waited for an update on US inflation after the latest jobs data conveyed mixed signals about the state of the economy.
Benchmarks rose in Paris, London, Frankfurt, Hong Kong and Shanghai. Tokyo and Sydney declined. US futures and oil prices also fell.
US consumer prices for June are due out on Wednesday, with forecasts calling for an annual increase of just over 3 per cent compared with 4 per cent the month before.
Germany's DAX gained 0.3 per cent early Monday to 15,645.48, while the CAC 40 in Paris rose 0.4 per cent to 7,138.87. Britain's FTSE 100 inched 0.2 per cent higher to 7,268.25.
The future for the S&P 500 was down 0.2 per cent while that for the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged less than 0.1 per cent lower. On Friday, the S&P 500 lost 0.3 per cent while the Dow gave up 0.6 per cent. The Nasdaq composite edged 0.1 per cent lower and the Russell 2000 index of smaller stocks rose 1.2 per cent.
China reported Monday that producer prices fell 5.4 per cent in June from a year earlier, down from a 4.6 per cent drop in May, as growth in the US and Europe continued to taper off under a barrage of interest rate hikes meant to snuff out high inflation. Consumer price inflation was flat, also suggesting weakening of demand as activity in the world's second largest economy slows.
China's economy has slowed faster than hoped for after an initial surge in growth as the country bounced back from disruptions from the COVID-19 pandemic.
“The releases of the latest indicators from China did little to quell concerns about the lethargic state of economic activity,” Tim Waterer of KCM Trade said in a report. .He added that “with deflationary troubles brewing for the world's second largest economy, one wonders how long it will be before the central bank steps in to provide something more meaningful on the stimulus side.”
Weak data tends to lead Chinese investors to anticipate such market support. Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.6 per cent to 18,479.72 and the Shanghai Composite index edged 0.2 per cent higher to 3,203.70.
Tokyo's Nikkei 225 slipped 0.6 per cent to 32,189.73, while the Kospi in Seoul shed 0.2 per cent to 2,520.70. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 declined 0.5 per cent to 7,004.00.
India's Sensex edged 0.1 per cent higher, while the SET in Bangkok advanced 0.3 per cent.
As expected, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen wrapped up a fence-mending visit to Beijing on Sunday with no major agreements or breakthroughs in strained ties.
But Yellen said relations were on a “surer footing,” and the two sides would continue to talk despite disputes over many issues including access to advanced technologies, Chinese territorial ambitions and allegations of human rights abuses.
On Friday, Wall Street drifted to a mixed finish after data suggested the US job market is still warm enough to keep the economy growing but maybe not so hot that it stokes inflation much higher. US employers added 209,000 jobs last month, a slowdown from May's hiring of 306,000.
Wage growth held steady last month, instead of slowing as economists expected, for example. While workers would rather have the reported 4.4 per cent gain in average hourly earnings from a year earlier than the 4.2 per cent that was predicted, Wall Street's fear is the Fed will see too-strong wage growth as keeping upward pressure on inflation.
“Job growth is slowing. Not at all surprising following the massive layoffs happening across the country,” Clifford Bennett of ACY Securities said in a commentary. “In a nutshell, while jobs growth is slowing it is not enough to make the Fed happy by a big margin.”
A lot is riding on whether the economy can navigate the narrow pathway to avoid a long-predicted recession. It needs to keep growing despite much higher interest rates instituted by the Federal Reserve to bring down inflation.
In other trading Monday, US benchmark crude oil fell 61 cents to USD 73.25 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It added USD 2.06 to USD 73.86 per barrel on Friday.
Brent crude, the pricing basis for international trading, gave up 60 cents to USD 77.87 per barrel.
The US dollar rose to 142.50 Japanese yen from 142.17 yen. The euro slipped to USD 1.0965 from USD 1.0967.